طراحی یک مدل رشد سازمانی در صنعت قطعه سازی خودرو با استفاده از رویکرد پویایی سیستم

نویسندگان

1 دانشجوی دکترای گروه مدیریت، واحد تبریز، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تبریز، ایران

2 نویسنده مسئول- دانشیار گروه مدیریت، واحد تبریز، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تبریز، ایران

3 دانشیار گروه مدیریت، واحد تبریز، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تبریز، ایران

4 استادیار گروه مدیریت، واحد تبریز، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تبریز، ایران

چکیده

 
طراحی یک مدل رشد سازمانی در صنعت قطعه سازی خودرو با استفاده از رویکرد پویایی سیستم هدف این تحقیق طراحی یک مدل رشد سازمانی در صنعت قطعه سازی خودرو با استفاده از رویکرد پویایی سیستم می باشد. بدین منظور با مطالعات نظری و بررسی پیشینه تحقیق، مهمترین عوامل موثر در رشد شرکتها استخراج شده و از طریق یک پرسشنامه مهمترین آنها مشخص شده است. جامعه آماری تحقیق کلیه شرکتهای قطعه‌سازی عضو انجمن قطعه‌سازان استان آذربایجان شرقی شامل 186 شرکت می‌باشند که تعداد 126 شرکت بصورت تصادفی به عنوان نمونه انتخاب شده اند. برای جمع آوری اطلاعات جهت تعیین روابط بین متغیرها از مصاحبه های عمیق با خبرگان صنعت و دانشگاه استفاده شده و نمودار حلقه های علی ایجاد شده است و پس از بررسی اعتبار ساختار و رفتار مدل، سناریوهای حذف یارانه و تغییرات نرخ بهره بانکی شبیه سازی شده و اثرات آنها بر رفتار مدل مورد بررسی قرار گرفته است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله [English]

A model of organizational growth in automobile parts industry using the system dynamics approach

نویسندگان [English]

  • ghafar tari 1
  • naser feghhi farahmand 2
  • hoshang taghi zadeh 3
  • alireza bafande zende 4
چکیده [English]

Growth and profitability are of the main goals and strategic priorities for most companies which show the importance of corporate growth for senior managers. But despite the importance of firms’ growth in the business, it is very little known about the nature and manner of companies' growth. The aim of this study is to develop a model of organizational growth in automobile parts industry using the system dynamics approach. The research method is descriptive- analytical method. The research statistical population is all the members of auto parts producing association in East Azarbaijan province, Iran, including 186 firms of which 126 companies were randomly selected. A questionnaire with Cronbach's alpha coefficient of 0.897 is used to collect information to determine the most important variables in organizational development (system boundary). Then the relationships between variables have been identified with the use of experts view points (dynamic Hypothesis) and an organizational growth model is simulated using causal loop and flow diagrams. To test the validity of the model, the data of Charkheshgar Company are used and after model validation, two scenarios of subsidies elimination and changes of bank interest rate are simulated and their effects on the model behavior have been studied.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • firms’ growth
  • dynamic model
  • cause and effect diagram
  • stock and flow diagram
  • scenario evaluation
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