A Combined Model for Change of Risk Management in Iran's Oil Industry Engineering and Construction Projects

Document Type : Management & Organization

Authors

1 Ph.D student of Department of Civil Engineering, Sari Branch, Islamic Azad University, Sari, Iran.

2 Department of Civil Engineering, Qaemshahr Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qaemshahr, Iran

Abstract

In most execution schemes with various contractual patterns, changes in design and execution have become one of the main problems of project implementation, as many project management theorists have identified as one of the major risks affecting project success. Thus, providing a changes management model can play a key role in a more holistic approach to reducing risk and achieving project goals. For this purpose, unlike other conventional methods of risk assessment and modification, in this study, changes identified by four criteria: probability of occurrence, severity of effect, probability of detection and probability of determining appropriate response using Fuzzy FMEA fuzzy environment technique, The identified changes were prioritized and critical cases identified. Then, to evaluate the impact of other components on project objectives and to consider the interplay of these criteria with each other, it was combined with TOPSIS hierarchical structure method. The results show that engineering design changes are one of the most important factors contributing to the failure of EC projects. Also, poor planning risk is the most effective risk of planning and construction projects when planning ahead is delayed. Given that there are many EC projects currently underway in the Iranian oil industry that are at risk of changes, Using the results of this research can be useful in reducing the effects of unwanted changes and achieving project goals.

Keywords

References

Adamtey, S., & Onsarigo, L.(2018). Analysis of pipe-bursting construction risks using probability-impact model.  Journal of Engineering, Design and Technology, 41(7) 0024-2535.
Adeleke, A. Q., Bahaudin, A. Y., Kamaruddeen, A. M., Khan, M. W. A., Yao, L., Sorooshian, S.& Salimon, M. G. (2017). The Influence of Organizational External Factors on Construction Risk Management in Nigerian Construction Companies. Safety and Health at Work, 2(1) , 1121-10788.‏
Chanamool, N., & Naenna, T. (2016). Fuzzy FMEA application to improve decision making process in an emergency department. Applied Soft Computing, 43(1), 441-453.
Deng, X., Low, S.P., Zhao, X. & Chang, T. (2018). Identifying micro variables contributing to political risks in international construction projects. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management, 2(1), 86886-67252.
Ebrahimi, N., Farahani, M. & Sheikh, J. (2018). Pathology of claim management process in design and Build contracts: the case study of oil contracts. Sixth International Conference on Project Management, Istanboul, Turkey.
Fattahi, R., & Khalilzadeh, M. (2018). Risk evaluation using a novel hybrid method based on FMEA, extended MULTIMOORA, and AHP methods under fuzzy environment. Safety Science, 102(4), 290-300.
Gamil, Y., & Rahman, I. (2018). Identification of causes and effects of poor communication in construction industry: A theoretical review. Emerg. Sic, 3(2), 37- 54.
Habibi, M., Kermanshahi, S. & Safapour, E. (2018). Engineering, procurement and construction cost and schedule Performance leading indicators: State-of-the-art review. In Proceedings of the Construction Research Congress ASCE, 2 (4), 161-2218.
Kabirfar, K., & Mojtahedi, M. (2019) The impact of Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) Phases on Project Performance. The Journal of Buildings, 9 (1), 2075-5309.
Kerzner, H., & Kerzner, H.R. (2017). Project Management: A Systems Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling. Hoboken, 46 (5), 1673-1886.
Lopes, J., Oliveira, R. & Abreu, M. (2017). The sustainability of the construction industry in sub-saharan Africa: Some new evidence from recent data. Procedia Eng, 172 (9), 657–664.
Masoudnejad, M., Rayatid Damavandi, M. & Gholampour, S. (2019). A hybrid model for risk assessment in infrastructure projects: the case of small-scale power plants. Asas Journal, 21(54), 41-56. [In Persian]
Martens, M. L., & Carvalho, M. M. (2020). Key factors of sustainability in project Management context: A survey exploring the project Managers’ perspective. Int. J. Proj. Manage, 35(3), 1084–1102.
Moura, H., & Teixeira J.C. (2018). Claims in railway projects in Portugal. International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management in a Global Economy, Instituto Superior Tecnico, Lisbon, Portugal.
Pal, R., Wang, P. & Liang, X. (2017). The critical factors in Managing relationships in international engineering, procurement, and construction (iepc) projects of Chinese organizations. Int. J. Proj. Manage, 35 (1), 1225–1237.
 Salehi Taleshi, M., Arbabi, H. & Hosseinalipour, M. (2018). Examining the Role of the Project Management Office in Creation of Knowledge Management Infrastructures in Project-Based Organizations of Iranian Oil & Gas Upstream Industry. Journal of Executive Management, 9(18), 37-61. [In Persian]
Zarei, S., & Ahmadlou, Z. (2020). Foreign exchange market Movements and investment risk in the petrochemical industry. IJE, 22 (1), 29-55.

Files

History

  • Receive Date: 03 April 2020
  • Revise Date: 22 September 2020
  • Accept Date: 03 October 2020

Share

How to cite

Statistics