بررسی بقای شرکت‌های تازه‌وارد صنایع برق‌و‌الکترونیک استان مازندران بر اساس ویژگی شرکتی و صنعت

نویسندگان

1 استاد گروه مدیریت صنعتی دانشگاه مازندران

2 کارشناسی ارشد مدیریت بازرگانی. دانشگاه مازندران

چکیده

ایجاد شرکت‌های تازه‌وارد، نقش کلیدی در تکامل و شکل‌دهی یک صنعت دارند و تأثیر مهمی بر بهره‌وری، نوآوری و تجدید صنایع خواهند گذاشت، لذا توجه و بررسی بقای شرکت‌های تازه‌وارد از اهمیت بالایی برخوردار می‌باشد. با توجه به نقش کلیدی اندازه شرکت، نرخ ورود به صنعت و نرخ رشد صنعت در عملکرد پس از تأسیس شرکت‌ها و پویایی صنعت، و نیز اهمیت صنایع برق‌و‌الکترونیک در توسعه‌ی اقتصادی کشور، هدف از تحقیق حاضر بررسی تأثیر این متغیرها بر بقای شرکت‌های تازه‌وارد صنایع برق‌و‌الکترونیک استان مازندران طی سال‌های 1360- 1390 می‌باشد. جمع‌آوری داده‌ها و اطلاعات از  طریق پایگاه داده سازمان صنعت، معدن و تجارت استان مازندران صورت‌ گرفته‌است. برنامه نرم‌افزاری winTDA[1] نیز جهت پردازش داده‌ها مورد استفاده قرار ‌گرفت. فرضیه‌ها به‌وسیله‌ی مدل نیمه‌پارامتریک رگرسیون Cox مورد آزمون قرار گرفتند. نتایج حاصل از مدل کوکس، رابطه مثبت اندازه شرکت و نرخ ‌ورود‌ به‌صنعت با بقا را مورد تایید قرار داد. اما رابطه معنی‌داری بین متغیر نرخ ‌رشد ‌صنعت و بقا بدست نیامد. به‌منظور بررسی بیشتر رابطه بین نرخ ورود به صنعت و بقای شرکت، از مدل ناپارامتریک برآوردکننده حد محصول(کاپلان‌ـ‌مایر) و رویکرد جدول عمر استفاده شد که نتایج حاصل از آن نیز رابطه مثبت بین نرخ ورود به صنعت و بقا را تایید کرد.



[1] Transition Data Analysis

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Investigation the Survival of Newcomer Companies in Electronic and Electric Industries of Mazandaran Province on Company and Industry Characteristic

نویسنده [English]

  • mehrdad Madhoushi 1
1
2
چکیده [English]

The establishment of new companies has a key role in evolution and formation of an industry and has an important effect on efficiency, innovation and revision of industry, so attention and analysis of the survival of newcomer companies are really important. Regarding the key role of the size of the company, the entrance rate to industry and the industrial growth rate in function after the establishment of companies and the industry dynamism and the importance of Electrical and Electronics industries in economic development of the country, the purpose of the research is analyzing the effects of these variables on the survival of new companies of Electrical and Electronics industries in Mazandaran province from 1981 to 2011. The data and information have been collected from the data base of Industry, Mining and Trade Organization of Mazandaran province. WinTDA software program has also been used for data processing. The hypotheses have been tested by the semi-parametric model of Cox regression. According to the results of Cox model, there is a positive relationship between the size of company and entrance rate to industry and the company survival. But there is no meaningful relationship between the industrial growth rate variable and the survival. The nonparametric model of product limit estimator (Kaplan-Meier) and life table approach have been used to analyze the relationship between the entrance rate to industry and the company survival. According to the results of the model, there is a positive relationship between the entrance rate to industry and the company survival.
 

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Newcomer Companies
  • Firm size
  • Entrance Rate to Industry
  • Industry Growth Rate
  • Survival Analysis

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  • تاریخ دریافت: 25 اسفند 1393
  • تاریخ پذیرش: 25 اسفند 1393

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